BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Lone Tree

Class: 1A Class Rank: 38 Conference: (13-6) Overall: (17-8) Overall Strength =   75.54

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/28/2005 Away    W    83.77  65   50   1A   77 (12-12) Olin                    8.26      6.74                      
  2 12/02/2005 Home    W *  73.57  63   49   2A  117 (10-13) Louisa-Muscatine       -1.94     15.94                      
  3 12/05/2005 Home    W    81.25  82   61   1A   92 ( 6-16) Victor HLV              5.74     15.26                      
  4 12/06/2005 Away    W *  87.01  73   49   2A  114 (13- 9) Wapello                11.50     12.50                      
  5 12/09/2005 Away    L *  59.64  50   62   2A   88 (15- 9) Mediapolis            -15.87      3.87                      
  6 12/13/2005 Home    W *  61.41  58   55   1A   98 ( 6-17) Riverside Highland    -14.11     17.11                      
  7 12/16/2005 Home    W *  77.66  67   27   2A  129 ( 1-21) Columbus Junction       2.15 *   37.85                      
  8 12/20/2005 Away    W *  69.57  87   58   1A  137 ( 3-19) Winfield-Mt Union      -5.95 *   34.95                      
  9 01/03/2006 Home    W    78.53  72   58   2A  101 ( 2-20) West Liberty            3.02     10.98                      
 10 01/06/2006 Away    L *  67.15  44   64   1A   14 (20- 3) Iowa Mennonite         -8.36    -11.64                      
 11 01/10/2006 Home    L *  54.20  77   82   2A  114 (13- 9) Wapello               -21.31     16.31                      
 12 01/13/2006 Away    W *  99.37  97   61   2A  117 (10-13) Louisa-Muscatine       23.86     12.14                      
 13 01/14/2006 Away    L    62.63  44   59   2A   69 (13-10) West Branch           -12.88     -2.12                      
 14 01/17/2006 Away    W *  85.21  61   38   1A   98 ( 6-17) Riverside Highland      9.70     13.30                      
 15 01/23/2006 Home    W    72.48  73   65   2A  107 ( 8-14) Belle Plaine           -3.03     11.03                      
 16 01/24/2006 Home    W *  61.76  68   43   1A  137 ( 3-19) Winfield-Mt Union     -13.75 *   38.75                      
 17 01/27/2006 Away    W *  92.46  65   14   2A  129 ( 1-21) Columbus Junction      16.95 *   34.05                      
 18 01/28/2006 Home    W *  72.84  55   50   2A   88 (15- 9) Mediapolis             -2.67      7.67  was 01/20 now 01/28 
 19 01/31/2006 Home    L *  63.35  40   60   1A   14 (20- 3) Iowa Mennonite        -12.16     -7.84                      
 20 02/06/2006 Away    L *  71.43  59   62   1A   45 (16- 8) Notre Dame             -4.08      1.08                      
 21 02/09/2006 Neutral W *  97.74  67   39   2A   88 (15- 9) Mediapolis             22.23      5.77                      
 22 02/17/2006 Away    L *  72.43  46   48   1A   45 (16- 8) Notre Dame             -3.08      1.08                      
 23 02/22/2006 Neutral W *  67.31  61   54   1A   98 ( 6-17) Riverside Highland     -8.20     15.20                      
 24 02/27/2006 Neutral W *  92.25  63   56   1A   14 (20- 3) Iowa Mennonite         16.74     -9.74                      
 25 03/02/2006 Neutral L    82.77  60   65   1A   10 (21- 4) Thornburg Tri-County    7.26    -12.26                      
      Averages              75.51  63.9 53.2

Best game:   99.37 = 36 point win over Letts Louisa-Muscatine
Worst game:  54.20 = 5 point loss to Wapello
Team stdev:  12.33